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News and Developments:

The Egyptian “Revolution”?

By Nikita Chirkov
May 2011

I have been pondering for quite a while now about the best way to explain to you the unfolding revolution in Egypt. And now, Hosni Mubaraks decision to step down caused an absolutely pathetic response from the media nationwide. A vacuum of rudimentary pre-assumptions about the new-coming “democracy” has now spread to a degree of news commentators literally jumping up und down with joy while they broadcast live from their studios. This truly has to be addressed.
Therefore, I cannot but ask myself and others about the true dangers of such a revolution, particularly when Americas long time ally is being overthrown. Two days ago, the news of Hosni Mubaraks decision began to flood the doors of the White House; consequently later the same day, Obama made a speech to address the success of the “democratic” movement in Egypt. Little did he know that few hours later Mubarak would go on national television and proclaim that he will not step down, and that he will manage the reform process himself.  I still am not sure about the intents and purposes of this move, for Mubarak did in fact step down the next day, but neither do I care. The fact is that Mubaraks decision plays little or no role in the final outcome of this revolution. How come? Well you see the “reforms” Mubarak conducted do nothing more then place his own puppets in the highest echelons of power, a page from the Putin’s type of governing if you will. The biggest difference of coarse is Putin’s timing in handpicking Medvedev, for he stepped down right in time to avoid any constitutional complications which could have sparked a nationwide criticism. Although Mubaraks timing in executing the “Putin plan” may not be perfect, the strategy has proved to have the same results. The crowd is happy, Egypt is celebrating, and the news commentators are jumping up and down in their studios. But what has changed exactly? What will change? Even though Mubarak stepped down, he will still oversee the changes and constitutional reforms directly or through his puppets.
    Now here comes my skepticism- is this truly a “democratic” revolution? Remember, the rebellion started over food availability, with crowds demanding for the government to provide food for the public. Sounds more like socialism if you ask me. Nevertheless the crowds wanted Mubarak gone! He is, to a degree… Now what? Will the young population thrive to control the government and demand for a democratic cause? Or will history once again repeat itself? Please remember, these democratic movements have happened before in multiple countries in the Middle East, and have resulted in one thing- tyrannical theocracy. Iran is the perfect example of how a democratic revolution caused an ironfisted theocracy. Even if we look at this globally, there are very few examples where a domestic revolution caused anything positive or “democratic” in the final outcome. Russia got rid of communist Gorbachev and got Yeltsin and now Putin. Brilliant democracy there. Germany got Hitler and fascism, and the examples go on and on and on. Well what about the American Revolution? The American revolution had to do with a foreign tyranny, not domestic. The society began to form differently, with different social and political views, which in turn led them to request for a better local government. Egypt is very different, incomparable in any way to the American Revolution.
    And then there is the Muslim Brotherhood. Ever since the beginning of the Egyptian rebellion, the Muslim Brotherhood began lurking in the shadows like a pack of hyenas, waiting for any instability in the Egyptian government. Then, it became evident that many of the key protests were in fact organized by the Muslim Brotherhood. What a surprise. For those of you who don’t know, the Muslim Brotherhood is an organization of islamo-originalists who support many terrorist organizations and thrive to set up theocratic Islamic regimes. There are simply too many examples of their deeds to list here, if you are interested –look it up. Consequently, the instability in Egypt attracts the Muslim Brotherhood, and they will do anything in their power to infiltrate into the Egyptian government, and make it run just like Iran. The scary part of all of this is that many Egyptians actually support the Muslim Brotherhood and their goals, and therefore keeping this in mind, it becomes more and more difficult to believe that this will have a “democratic” outcome.
    I do not disagree that some individuals in the movement support democratic reform. Neither do I disagree that Mubarak was abusive of his power. However keep this in mind- he was one of our strongest allies. We sent Egypt billions of dollars and cooperated in multiple military operations. In other words, one day he was our favorite dictator and an ally, and another day we want him to step down. The fact of the matter is that Mubarak was a consistent reliable partner of the United States, and for the American government to demand that he step down and throw Egypt into instability is stupid to say the least. If Mubaraks regime stays in power through his puppets, or the Muslim Brotherhood infiltrates into Egyptian government only time will tell. However one thing is certain-  even if the people set up a democracy(the chances of which are minimal), the relationship US had with Egypt will be a different one. And if they don’t, then history will once again repeat itself, and talks of extensive cooperation with Egypt will definitely be a thing of the past. As of now, we can only observe and pray that everything will turn toward a peaceful transition to democracy, but truly and honestly, so far there is nothing to jump up and down about.